TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c7b…3d69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$111.22
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.47
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$89.64
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$131.89
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.67
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63.98
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.88
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.94
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.74
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$43.1
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.93
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.88
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.92
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.88
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.72
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$39.39
Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.94
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.45
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$38.96
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noah FA vs. FC Sion: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.91
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)backed Paide Linnameeskond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.36
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.