TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84c1…4114backed Under11c13,787$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c13,636$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,635.675729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under56c11,143$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.854755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c8,941$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.1711645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under38c6,365$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.278550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf8…8e52backed Under13c6,136$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8346…4212backed Under13c6,136$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d66…331cbacked Under18c4,167$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over69c3,967$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.092835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over72c2,276$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.617446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e8…0836backed Under20c1,958$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c1,946$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c1,570$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.4197346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c1,488$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8813547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Under78c1,302$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.61030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under12c1,285$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.329654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over77c1,240$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.222,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over46c1,029$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.691,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c912.42$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.938453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under42c803.34$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c586.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.672,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.333666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c468$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under18c428.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under35c410.14$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3810839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under9c403.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.595064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over44c381$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5618145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c331.41$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5969448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under12c319.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.916969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under49c305.25$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over46c301.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.691,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under56c270$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.28757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under41c258.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7736356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Over79c224.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.814136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under45c219.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c217.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over37c208.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.672040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…5c3abacked Under45c165.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c160.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…47e6backed Under30c128.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over78c102.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under27c100.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.615444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.998331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over61c97.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5639357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over47c95.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3812548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over78c93.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3158061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over73c89.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c89.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0796947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over44c80.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8365549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Under18c73.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-66.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under49c70.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4774155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under32c67.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.168316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c62.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over80c58.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over72c52.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8127554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under37c51.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210148.5%49 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2253564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over79c50.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6619163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over79c48.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.231856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under24c41.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over46c39.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over47c35.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.659958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7b…3d69backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under55c33.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.313145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Over79c31.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.737580%60 W · 15 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over37c30.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.455052%26 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over72c26.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4712254.1%66 W · 56 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under55c24.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4523951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Over79c22.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.782272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over80c21.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under56c21.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.