TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PFK CSKA Sofiaof MH Maccabi Tel Aviv, PFK CSKA Sofia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,263 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv24c1,454$348 inLost-$347.72,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c986$749 inWon+$236.641,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv24c841.37$201 inLost-$2013420.6%7 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked PFK CSKA Sofia76c744.28$566 inWon+$178.6396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv24c456.5$109 inLost-$109.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c440.83$335 inWon+$105.81,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c271$206 inWon+$65.0438144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv23c182$42 inLost-$41.868636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv27c138$37 inLost-$36.5737043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv24c135.54$33 inLost-$32.5313547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv23c130.43$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked PFK CSKA Sofia77c123.94$95 inWon+$28.5110249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c109.62$84 inWon+$25.521,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c91.34$69 inWon+$21.9281440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed PFK CSKA Sofia73c74.25$54 inWon+$20.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv23c71.27$16 inLost-$16.3927545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c69.81$54 inWon+$16.223,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dff…bb1ebacked PFK CSKA Sofia74c69$51 inWon+$17.942352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv23c50$12 inLost-$11.52540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c48.54$37 inWon+$11.6550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked PFK CSKA Sofia76c39.47$30 inWon+$9.479958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c38$29 inWon+$8.7439357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336e…2ae5backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c32.47$25 inWon+$7.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked PFK CSKA Sofia77c32.22$25 inWon+$7.418070%56 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69df…fe16backed PFK CSKA Sofia78c28.21$22 inWon+$6.211172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0548…2d86backed PFK CSKA Sofia78c26.45$21 inWon+$5.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed PFK CSKA Sofia76c21.06$16 inWon+$5.0523653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c20$15 inWon+$4.68461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed PFK CSKA Sofia77c13.23$10 inWon+$3.123951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.