TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Under75c800.36$600 inLost-$600.2710463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over25c796.36$199 inWon+$597.272,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over28c342.57$95 inWon+$247.932161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under73c256$187 inLost-$186.8827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c214.57$154 inLost-$154.492,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over27c136.41$37 inWon+$99.416628.8%19 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over32c50.94$16 inWon+$34.661450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Over52c50$26 inWon+$242347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under67c40$27 inLost-$26.666333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under68c25$17 inLost-$1727554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.