TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,703$37 inLost-$37.039021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over71c470$334 inWon+$135.64269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c462$134 inLost-$133.982,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over73c366.67$268 inWon+$994763.8%30 W · 17 L+11.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+86.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under27c366.67$99 inLost-$9960%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c230.87$162 inWon+$69.262,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under30c200.8$60 inLost-$60.248840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Over71c138.66$98 inWon+$40.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed Over71c66.2$47 inWon+$19.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c55.06$16 inLost-$15.641,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c52.31$15 inLost-$15.173,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over70c42.86$30 inWon+$12.8620660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over71c40$28 inWon+$11.621840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under29c40$12 inLost-$11.62540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under29c38.01$11 inLost-$11.1123951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over71c33.07$23 inWon+$9.5965549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over71c30$21 inWon+$8.739357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over73c19.46$14 inWon+$5.2511141.4%46 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c14.28$10 inWon+$417855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.