Champions League · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3af6a504899f0c403463761fe02943292796b963da09e5b5d0a04feaac94b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 3,709$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.09 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,880$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,350$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 43c | 2,297$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 63c | 2,116$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.04 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 57c | 2,002$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 56c | 1,898$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.67 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,845$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,495$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,483$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.45 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 1,355$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f60cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,354$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 1c | 1,286$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,131$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.64 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,112$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.97 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 976$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.46 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 2c | 949.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 35c | 885.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…40babacked Yes | 47c | 826.48$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 826.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.68 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 784.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 763$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 747.97$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 3c | 583.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 56c | 505.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…931bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 471$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 471$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 64c | 469$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 397.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 41c | 396.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 5c | 386.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 65c | 330$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 46c | 304.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 303$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 62c | 295.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed No | 57c | 284.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked No | 64c | 280.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 44c | 268$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 37c | 256$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 57c | 254$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 57c | 250.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes | 56c | 248.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 40c | 226.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 61c | 206.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 205.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…c2cbbacked Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 45c | 171.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed No | 57c | 170.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…3098backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 45c | 119.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 62c | 105.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 38c | 105.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 37c | 104.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 40c | 101.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 37c | 100.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 95.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 43c | 85.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 74c | 82.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 71.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 55c | 68.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 58c | 64.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 61c | 62.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…7042backed Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 64c | 61.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 56c | 52.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 39c | 46.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…4678backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 42.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 58c | 41.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 54c | 36.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.