TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,404,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,749,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,404,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Yes34c5,685,222$1,921,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763,624.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed No0c1,801,855$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.022733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No66c1,532,515$1,011,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011,441.4315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No65c601,233$389,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389,227.710740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No66c503,894$332,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332,570.0411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095f…90b2backed Yes42c410,923$172,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,335.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No62c408,513$252,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,583.9474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No63c384,884$243,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,907.372,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes31c351,554$108,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,572.1615552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes33c350,000$115,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,499.983844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No66c250,000$165,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,999.9722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c247,684$140,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,917.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No69c234,453$161,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,772.657343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No67c232,500$154,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,844.997447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed No66c214,947$141,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,867.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No67c207,296$139,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,345.3829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No66c200,000$132,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,999.839948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No58c173,202$100,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,171.661,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes32c120,876$38,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,195.681,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No68c116,397$78,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,625.6324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked No66c107,000$70,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,4104057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No67c104,089$69,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,239.4825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No67c98,650$66,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,095.4921333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No67c88,888$59,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,554.9511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed No67c79,360$53,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,171.193857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No67c78,761$52,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,744.7529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes32c78,512$25,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,387.934250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No66c76,963$50,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,795.842352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed No66c76,143$50,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,565.9810836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No46c75,802$34,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,582.1413037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed No67c72,490$48,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,493.262254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes36c71,833$25,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,973.334667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed No67c67,000$44,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,8002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed No66c61,700$40,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,845.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c61,131$30,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,271.2842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c60,559$27,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,179.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No66c60,070$39,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,721.97143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ab…d33cbacked No67c59,240$39,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,974.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No66c53,480$35,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,451.796149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked No67c51,610$34,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,436.12860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c50,000$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,00027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No66c48,360$31,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,917.68046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked No67c46,500$31,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,090450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No66c45,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,7008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No68c45,000$30,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,549.787269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c37,258$21,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,992.072,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No67c36,580$24,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,421.797156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed No67c33,750$22,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,507.55234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes35c32,213$11,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,060.4116647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed No67c32,000$21,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,2805750.9%29 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c31,932$18,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,404.731,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No66c31,000$20,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,46011642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No47c30,248$14,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,183.7636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…0897backed Yes43c30,233$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,232.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked No66c30,170$19,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,912.26055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No67c30,062$20,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,141.548057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No66c30,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,80021444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…03f9backed Yes34c29,992$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,791.619152.4%100 W · 91 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c29,897$12,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,695.656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes34c29,412$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,411.7632429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Yes34c29,412$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,411.764151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No64c28,574$18,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,287.366645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes40c28,298$11,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,900.15930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c27,511$12,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,217.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No66c27,500$18,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,1506050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No67c25,000$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,7502931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c24,999$16,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.4176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No66c24,800$16,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,3688450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No66c24,600$16,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,23610251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed No67c24,570$16,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,461.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No66c24,000$15,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,929.912934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed No66c23,870$15,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,868.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c23,617$15,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,844.431,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed No66c21,700$14,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,321.991625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes74c21,467$15,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,677.164131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes33c21,374$6,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,405.1215930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c21,188$14,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,239.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No66c20,900$13,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,793.7914551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No43c20,793$8,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,993.835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd7…401fbacked Yes48c20,382$9,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,589.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No44c20,121$8,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,807.52,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c19,605$13,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,281.081,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes47c19,261$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,138.5979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes54c18,519$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.529446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No68c18,235$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.812255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No66c16,987$11,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,211.4222752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No66c16,864$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,130.2428133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c16,832$10,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,846.611,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No5c16,455$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No67c15,800$10,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,511.9347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes37c15,750$5,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,922.6411421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No67c15,500$10,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3235156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No67c15,500$10,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,319.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes70c15,086$10,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.8737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa75f…412bbacked No66c15,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,900742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No66c15,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.915244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…0832backed Yes34c14,706$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,705.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No22c14,258$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes68c14,000$9,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked No66c13,750$9,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0751376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.