Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5109e2139abf04f2c551b638fda1be9eeb671c011a66b619a31dc0c8026b5f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 3,457$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.35 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 2,038$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes | 43c | 841.58$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 810.18$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.83 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 694.88$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 593$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 42c | 548.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 409.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 408.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 20c | 399.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 57c | 346.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 55c | 211.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…88d8backed Yes | 43c | 170.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 168.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 44c | 157.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 111.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 78.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 75.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 74.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 77c | 61.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 58.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 51.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 58c | 48.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 57c | 30.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 58c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 70c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Yes | 44c | 23.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed No | 62c | 21.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 59c | 21.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.