Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5814b75df475f30bafa77118817f0e858d0aeeb043d7448550c8ff37966655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16fe…2a73backed Over | 50c | 2,569$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,451$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.73 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 2,433$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.43 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 2,412$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.37 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 2,199$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.81 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 74c | 2,086$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.34 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 2,069$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.13 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 55c | 1,123$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.13 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 831.84$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.63 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 16c | 485.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 43c | 465.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 36c | 447.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 19c | 445$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 437.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 47c | 426.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 63c | 322.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 76c | 282.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 267.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 248.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 28c | 229.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 74c | 226.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 33c | 217.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 28c | 192$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 42c | 157.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 153.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 105.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 93.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 84.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 82.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 29c | 69.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 65.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 34c | 40.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -14.8wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.9%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.