Champions League · resolved market
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b7a769e002facbda908b3ba2c2a4acd0a6fe2fbe4d1dce51e8af7f0f3ffac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qairat FKof PFK Levski Sofia, Qairat FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PFK Levski Sofia | 25c | 8,086$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.04 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PFK Levski Sofia | 15c | 6,846$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.94 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PFK Levski Sofia | 4c | 5,050$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…b527backed Qairat FK | 69c | 3,261$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Qairat FK | 70c | 2,500$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 1,527$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qairat FK | 68c | 955$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qairat FK | 68c | 955$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qairat FK | 68c | 954.71$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.51 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Qairat FK | 68c | 788.39$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 453.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Qairat FK | 69c | 453.51$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed PFK Levski Sofia | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 303.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Qairat FK | 68c | 270$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 256$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Qairat FK | 68c | 190.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed PFK Levski Sofia | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Qairat FK | 68c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed PFK Levski Sofia | 32c | 73.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Qairat FK | 69c | 70.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Qairat FK | 73c | 64.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Qairat FK | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 59c | 31.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Qairat FK | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed Qairat FK | 68c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Qairat FK | 68c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Qairat FK | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Qairat FK | 70c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.