Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71bd2813af94fe934e2afe968992536bfdd1e39abba09140af6ddb1cd5a4d687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 2,240$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 5c | 1,715$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 17c | 1,272$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…e8f2backed Under | 80c | 599.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 19c | 347.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 20c | 194.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 20c | 137.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 21c | 59.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…ab79backed Under | 79c | 25.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.