Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd65777baa1f3072c0ce47502b7bc2d3c3531a2a3ce1cb10c7be60e44112d63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 67c | 27,512$18,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,394.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 6,125$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.34 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 766.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.08 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 33c | 606.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 477$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 477$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 470$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 465.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 43c | 460.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 308.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 248.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 35c | 192.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 33c | 184$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 147.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 12c | 122.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Under | 38c | 106.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…3e09backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 55c | 91.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 47c | 74.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 36c | 56.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 36c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 49.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 46c | 36.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Under | 36c | 34.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 64c | 23.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 69c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 65c | 21.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.