Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9c4105b512ecfad24811657755d26ff0b1570bed63947ec8cfe375ee753761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 9,265$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.26 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 54c | 8,349$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 7,403$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.44 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 3,463$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.65 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 3,235$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.14 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 69c | 2,675$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.49 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 2,198$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.01 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 49c | 1,877$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.28 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 1,730$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.86 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…4f4abacked Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 21c | 1,262$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 1,035$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 872.15$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 49c | 811.04$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 745.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 473.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 454.72$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 57c | 441.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 432.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 431.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 60c | 417.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 32c | 401.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 386.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 68c | 369$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 276.58$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 31c | 258.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 30c | 257.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 256$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 243.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 222.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 200.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…0d73backed Over | 18c | 121.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 111.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 69c | 110.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 59c | 80.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 38c | 79.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 68c | 69.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Under | 36c | 69.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 58c | 63.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 52c | 60.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Over | 32c | 55.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 44.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 59c | 41.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…4494backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 32.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 61c | 28.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 76c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.2wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 68c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.