Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3172dc6ea3aba6f92de2fb5cdd130599807f0c7e4cf4991ad995f17d70dfa640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 4,867$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.46 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 11c | 4,230$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 24c | 3,951$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 3,770$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.27 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 3,206$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.58 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 1,752$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.4 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 1,176$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 1,075$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.88 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 30c | 438.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 59c | 325.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 5c | 321.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 295.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 259$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 252.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 41c | 241.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 238.85$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 226.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 73c | 222.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 209.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 208.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 76c | 199.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Under | 56c | 134.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 111$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 75c | 95.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Under | 64c | 92.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 58c | 75.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 78c | 55.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 69c | 55.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 74c | 47.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 42c | 45.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 72c | 41.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…35b3backed Under | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 66c | 32.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 41c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 29.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Under | 60c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 79c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 75c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.