TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x743c…c386

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$136.39
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+716.3%+$131.63
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$36.58
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$75.94
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.7
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed PFK Levski Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.43
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed CF América · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$140.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$37.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.