La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d4ef8d4d439f3449cccdd1f0a4d8c25c59b7f4c4397543b31e5dd2d4e00be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Under | 53c | 7,303$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 3,444$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.32 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Over | 54c | 2,782$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 1,998$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.76 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Over | 53c | 1,946$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 1,120$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.13 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 50c | 887.44$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Over | 9c | 812.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Over | 14c | 709$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Over | 54c | 461.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Over | 50c | 410.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 379$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 48c | 239.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Over | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 52c | 192.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 51c | 182.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 164.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…8fafbacked Over | 51c | 95.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 38c | 95.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 51c | 76.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 50c | 59.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 57.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 51c | 48.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b143backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 51c | 25.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…2512backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390e…49cdbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8b93backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…2846backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.