South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d328817a2a87e284c955660a07a86f13785b8ff06c1c55b8c65700567d16f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 38c | 30,944$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,185.08 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 9,850$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 8,503$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.3 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 8,132$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 6,159$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 5,203$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.07 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 62c | 4,815$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.23 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 4,420$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 4,206$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.59 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 3,480$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.06 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 3,297$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 62c | 2,083$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.58 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 41c | 1,890$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.35 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 1,860$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…c397backed No | 2c | 1,339$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 5c | 1,274$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 1,088$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 64c | 1,082$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 16c | 1,067$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 5c | 908.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 54c | 902$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.67 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 851.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 739.38$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 36c | 662.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.87 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 38c | 580.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.95 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 56c | 556.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 36c | 543.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 62c | 436$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed No | 11c | 410$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 409.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 331.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 326.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 61c | 320.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 66c | 308.19$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 302$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 67c | 299.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 67c | 294.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 62c | 289.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked No | 5c | 282.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 19c | 279$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked No | 62c | 266.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 62c | 265.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 35c | 256.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 61c | 251.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 40c | 249.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…900fbacked Yes | 35c | 214.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 45c | 194.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 190$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 65c | 180.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 62c | 174.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 69c | 171.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 159.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 33c | 154.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 154$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 62c | 153.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 31c | 150.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 65c | 143.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Yes | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked No | 61c | 134.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 62c | 131.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 13c | 131.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 79c | 127.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 9c | 125.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 65c | 122.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed No | 31c | 122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…9c09backed Yes | 42c | 120.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 118.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed No | 63c | 111.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…564cbacked Yes | 38c | 108.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 62c | 108.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 61c | 104.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yes | 38c | 100.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 21c | 97.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 45c | 95.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 62c | 79.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-03?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.