South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f5399914ef2a2a7b5926d9feb6987715a5369fc4afbbdd1bc035ae02d80292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 70c | 20,000$13,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.43 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 30c | 9,197$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.07 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 9,080$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.17 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 7,188$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 6,334$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.53 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,822$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 2,751$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 2,116$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 2,109$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.92 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,020$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 1,512$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.08 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 25c | 1,238$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 694.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 362.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 361.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 361.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed No | 75c | 360.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 9c | 319.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 9c | 319.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 288.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 280.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 267.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 17c | 205.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 75c | 187.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 30c | 149.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 22c | 119.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 117.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 113.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 17c | 94.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 22c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 27c | 86.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 24c | 85.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…24dbbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 25c | 76.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 29c | 75.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 30c | 73.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 22c | 68.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 67.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 69c | 65.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 30c | 60.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 70c | 57.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 22c | 51.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 26c | 47.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 74c | 41.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 74c | 40.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 70c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked No | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 70c | 35.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 73c | 34.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 74c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 75c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.