TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c135,617$56,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,717.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,499.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c41,460$24,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,173.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over58c39,000$22,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,379.978932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over59c16,567$9,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,842.032,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c16,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.9912254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under41c10,016$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c8,066$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c7,159$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c5,321$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over59c5,075$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.811,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c3,644$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.673,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c3,414$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.1430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Over59c3,383$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.474040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c3,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under42c2,769$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.551,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under42c2,756$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.171,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under41c2,540$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.4838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over57c2,421$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.0222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over57c1,713$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.798156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over58c1,695$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.58652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under44c1,691$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.8464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over57c1,518$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5610051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under42c1,473$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.6158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under41c1,437$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.1746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.936550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c1,335$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c1,311$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775a…9d72backed Over55c1,209$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under57c1,116$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.051,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Under51c1,079$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55512047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under57c1,024$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9914226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c963.91$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over57c919.86$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5410432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c912.46$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.881,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over56c910.43$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5913943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over56c877.68$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.688225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…c7c7backed Over57c799.47$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over62c796.78$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over52c777$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.963545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c757.55$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c708.63$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under59c677.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c660$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.424649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over57c657.12$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.564057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87f…c8c3backed Under48c630.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over58c613.89$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8311545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Under48c602.39$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.572360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Under47c553.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over60c550$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5813654.4%74 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.457350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under53c533.22$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.71,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over60c516.67$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.674450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under47c508.07$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7910359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under54c501.88$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.741,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over60c500.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0826343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Over58c499.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.97944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over59c485.02$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8629636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…d54abacked Under42c480.69$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.893857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under53c471.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00c…efc3backed Over48c466.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.672540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under45c447.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4361750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.616750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c428.12$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over58c422.41$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.413542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c406.32$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.022,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c405.87$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under53c394.04$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.711,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe710…31afbacked Over59c384.49$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.641070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf052…e10bbacked Over58c362.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.332157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under42c360.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3935848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8321443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8316943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Over59c334.1$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.98825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over60c333.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.613862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over60c329.8$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9211563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over60c328.33$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3317948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under41c326$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.663,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under42c310$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over57c305.88$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5313157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c301.19$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.491,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c299.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under27c293$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.662,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over56c289.22$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under42c283$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Under44c268$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.582969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed Over59c265.78$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.974146.3%19 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over54c264.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.368864.8%57 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Over57c262.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.912555.2%69 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Over60c250.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.488431%26 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.