Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadccf191cda7b893a4b5b197ef04a8ef1f6b1ea8fff7e829ffb946574a8fd872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 57c | 4,460$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 42c | 2,480$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.05 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 2,416$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.26 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 1,718$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.09 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…c7c7backed Over | 46c | 1,709$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 43c | 871.1$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.63 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 598.41$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 468.77$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 33c | 264.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 223.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Over | 24c | 214.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…a31ebacked Over | 47c | 207.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 38c | 201.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 76c | 195.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 142.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 60c | 139.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 134.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Over | 59c | 119.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 44c | 113.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad33…a3c5backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…d758backed Under | 40c | 104.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 98.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…dc07backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…33b0backed Under | 59c | 85.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 42c | 62.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 65c | 59.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 44c | 51.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 59c | 46.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Under | 57c | 30.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…c0eebacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…8858backed Under | 58c | 23.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.