TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Uruguayof Cabo Verde, Uruguay
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Cabo Verde7c67,105$4,608 inLost-$4,608.032,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Cabo Verde1c53,395$704 inLost-$703.9371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cabo Verde8c25,215$1,995 inLost-$1,995.0826320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cabo Verde2c10,401$198 inLost-$197.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde2c7,579$121 inLost-$120.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Cabo Verde2c5,925$136 inLost-$136.4812825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Cabo Verde1c5,538$45 inLost-$45.4138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Cabo Verde2c4,124$86 inLost-$863067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cabo Verde2c3,637$73 inLost-$72.7438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Cabo Verde2c3,560$56 inLost-$56.1214428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cabo Verde2c2,979$70 inLost-$69.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff18…84b6backed Cabo Verde7c2,608$194 inLost-$193.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Cabo Verde7c2,438$182 inLost-$182.538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Cabo Verde2c2,000$38 inLost-$382888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Cabo Verde1c1,499$13 inLost-$12.621128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…6644backed Cabo Verde2c1,383$27 inLost-$271414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Cabo Verde1c1,250$10 inLost-$10.4410544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Cabo Verde2c1,114$25 inLost-$25.151,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b20…db9bbacked Cabo Verde3c1,100$31 inLost-$30.714634.2%50 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Cabo Verde2c1,085$25 inLost-$24.6195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb8…3236backed Cabo Verde2c1,036$24 inLost-$23.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Cabo Verde2c887.85$20 inLost-$19.531,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Cabo Verde12c777.22$97 inLost-$97.053823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed5…44bfbacked Cabo Verde9c713.37$66 inLost-$66.217941.3%74 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…34bfbacked Cabo Verde3c697.07$21 inLost-$215527.3%15 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+56.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Cabo Verde2c666.93$15 inLost-$15.3473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Cabo Verde2c663.92$13 inLost-$12.651,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cabo Verde4c604.68$24 inLost-$23.622,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…77ddbacked Cabo Verde2c500$10 inLost-$104619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Cabo Verde2c499.97$10 inLost-$10.56516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cabo Verde4c444.88$16 inLost-$16.0210836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Cabo Verde8c444.87$34 inLost-$34.3138437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Cabo Verde13c385.08$49 inLost-$48.523727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Cabo Verde10c311.56$30 inLost-$3023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a6…ff1ebacked Cabo Verde11c275.23$30 inLost-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…a69abacked Cabo Verde11c222.99$24 inLost-$24.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4b…315cbacked Cabo Verde15c206.3$30 inLost-$30.351526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Cabo Verde8c160$12 inLost-$123716.2%6 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Cabo Verde11c132.47$14 inLost-$13.994425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Cabo Verde11c109.09$12 inLost-$1215130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Cabo Verde13c96$13 inLost-$12.715731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Uruguay76c88$67 inWon+$21.1213059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.