TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$905,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c93,722$65,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,777.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over41c68,067$28,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,964.8377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c67,451$32,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,849.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c50,399$30,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,121.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under77c50,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,499.9332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over24c27,628$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,948.3217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c26,423$7,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,296.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under26c25,000$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c18,184$6,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,266.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c18,181$8,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,261.3949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under76c17,500$13,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,299.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over49c17,022$8,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,747.639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over68c16,581$11,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.9538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Under56c15,083$8,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,423.0514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under77c15,000$11,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over23c11,384$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,765.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under33c10,433$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.5844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under29c10,367$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.9336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under33c10,125$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.243464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over43c8,766$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,024.8837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over23c7,540$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under45c6,930$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.2575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under80c6,250$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over40c5,826$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.9510146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over21c5,324$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.3595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over25c5,313$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.7538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under77c5,286$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over66c5,121$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7164…9db6backed Under77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8501560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c4,980$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6c…21edbacked Over22c4,964$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.711752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over46c4,786$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.7166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under79c4,731$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.251,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under78c4,401$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.099148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under76c4,350$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.8133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.8389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under57c4,245$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.411,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over23c4,232$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.5411122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under77c4,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over21c3,913$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.3322437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,825$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over55c3,791$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.5223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c3,602$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under77c3,409$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under22c3,202$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.3516637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over69c3,157$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.341,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.3615128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under60c2,860$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c2,798$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under39c2,781$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.432,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under65c2,616$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over67c2,550$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.5133843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under3c2,521$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.434119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Under75c2,500$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c2,289$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.9319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c2,251$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.954,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under61c2,237$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.61,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under22c2,218$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4885846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over31c2,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3909821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c1,966$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.2287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under79c1,848$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under5c1,847$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.452,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over57c1,842$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.788950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over24c1,795$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.268225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under28c1,795$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under2c1,735$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.695119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under17c1,734$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2413727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over21c1,714$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.0671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over76c1,691$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.956851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under35c1,677$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5874740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under77c1,641$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over24c1,624$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.538723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under57c1,593$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.091,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c1,537$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over68c1,537$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6911354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82518449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34516116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c1,464$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under77c1,432$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over54c1,426$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.9333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under77c1,377$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.933,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under52c1,346$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.161,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under65c1,302$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1245536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Under23c1,283$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.091861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under33c1,282$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6520150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under55c1,260$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.9918548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under34c1,258$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over79c1,257$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.917157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over23c1,238$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.941,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over23c1,211$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.421,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under66c1,176$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7759845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.