Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da911e2abe9705934ff65325d1405271e0861b00217e67b3e3a0ef5edb4dfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 17,512$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,823.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 11c | 17,273$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,372.73 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 11,731$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,445.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 9,882$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,282.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 2c | 5,085$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.45 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 3,544$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.68 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Over | 11c | 2,516$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 11c | 2,295$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.33 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 10c | 2,207$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.43 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 11c | 2,022$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.29 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 13c | 2,015$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.55 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 11c | 1,851$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.47 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Under | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 1,471$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 1,201$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Over | 5c | 1,185$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.74 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 7c | 1,170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.63 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 4c | 1,146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,042$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 3c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Over | 11c | 917.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.43 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 875$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 7c | 863.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.88 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 7c | 840.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.89 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Over | 9c | 540.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.73 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 12c | 468.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 5c | 366.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 9c | 338.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 260.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 14c | 149.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 14c | 134.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 11c | 126.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Under | 80c | 36.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.