TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,196,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,199,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c148,940$44,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,789.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c72,604$29,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,175.9477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over51c49,020$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.9814542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under60c42,911$25,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,032.1666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under66c42,607$27,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,633.0328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c31,689$5,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under56c20,005$11,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,834.4144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under40c19,148$7,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,488.9244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Under39c18,287$7,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,095.3814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Over47c16,197$7,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,620.773246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c15,898$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,801.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under44c14,067$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,854.1236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over44c14,000$6,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,153.289451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c13,365$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.6920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under38c11,510$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,086.9764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under32c10,676$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,211.0934845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over64c9,678$6,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,235.998951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over51c9,549$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,857.1225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under73c9,393$6,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.781,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under54c9,262$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.8538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c8,799$6,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.751,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over41c8,558$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.498254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over61c7,322$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under38c7,185$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.1614544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Under73c6,859$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.173554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under23c6,628$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.2285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over62c6,431$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c6,375$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under39c5,784$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.1425844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under66c5,353$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.7349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Over9c5,226$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.34277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over27c5,095$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.4531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over39c5,066$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.7359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c4,902$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.581,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over71c4,847$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.8426949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over63c4,649$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.0474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c4,614$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under60c4,545$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.2937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Over44c4,535$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under59c4,245$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.088354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over12c4,203$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under30c4,186$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.3923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over40c4,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.8738526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Over63c3,968$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under79c3,797$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.2513453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under74c3,788$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.7917642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over8c3,700$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.885543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over66c3,504$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.777040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over66c3,422$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.5232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under10c3,392$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.4812254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under56c3,339$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under39c3,240$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.8320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under41c3,117$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.3334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over46c3,085$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.5527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over44c3,041$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.7422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over42c2,962$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.5620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over62c2,956$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.012245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under30c2,729$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.9327931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c2,600$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.1829633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under46c2,593$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.4925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Under79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.692437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Under40c2,502$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.233652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Over65c2,480$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.2610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under68c2,411$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7704,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over59c2,393$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41724620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over43c2,219$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6727345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over65c2,147$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.8633235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over60c2,068$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.7346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under56c2,062$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4823046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under37c2,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.025541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over45c2,011$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9510355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over12c2,000$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2377122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over61c1,952$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over21c1,856$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.868723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c1,826$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.3119946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under56c1,817$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.895166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7097…e1debacked Over44c1,766$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under57c1,743$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.2510055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Under11c1,737$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.7116163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under56c1,719$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.513539.3%53 W · 82 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under34c1,669$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.7912528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c1,657$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over44c1,585$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.229845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over44c1,570$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under32c1,566$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.5513542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under45c1,565$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.751,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…be5dbacked Over64c1,561$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under37c1,537$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.9834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under15c1,530$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.7626647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over43c1,500$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.4911156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over68c1,497$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.0258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under27c1,486$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.5514131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c1,474$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under40c1,418$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.1843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Under57c1,411$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.9316537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over47c1,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6588057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c1,367$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.1115141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under29c1,359$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.7321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over50c1,277$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.