TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c3,429$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Yes15c2,531$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.715236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No72c1,864$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.692,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed No75c303.7$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764582.2%37 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked No75c279.29$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.828853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f81…707ebacked Yes28c254.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+66%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No67c165.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.132,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.461,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes14c136.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes18c116$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes61c102$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1222058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2357252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda46…cf5cbacked No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20220%0 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c90.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c86.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c68.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No53c63.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.064,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.337458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes26c57.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Yes24c46.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x971c…74d5backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No56c38.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b85…9b47backed Yes61c24.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No77c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6520860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed No71c17.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.