TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$678,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$821,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over4c30,004$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.7512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over24c15,838$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.1174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over4c13,342$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.22595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under78c12,962$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.9377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c12,177$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.611,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over25c12,049$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.141,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over14c10,713$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over38c8,160$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.5831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c7,809$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c7,099$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c6,202$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over6c6,100$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under74c5,340$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.0133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over23c5,236$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.4375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over19c4,949$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.3238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over4c3,947$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8614612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over4c3,279$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.171,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over4c3,234$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.371,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over4c3,000$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over18c2,555$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4421640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Over16c2,500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.985433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over24c2,485$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.664740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over15c2,348$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.381711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over16c1,773$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.176346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over4c1,749$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over19c1,614$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over12c1,506$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8510836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over18c1,500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26435424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over14c1,467$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over14c1,430$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over4c1,428$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.714139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over9c1,389$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.274425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over4c1,368$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over16c1,253$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over5c1,234$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.527122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32411156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over9c1,160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over4c1,124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over19c999.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over4c976.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c968.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.862,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over33c909.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2daa…38efbacked Under69c900$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…dea7backed Over18c839.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over21c808.64$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over27c794.11$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4851250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under55c793.65$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under67c664.08$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.431,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over4c633.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over4c630$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1918642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over24c627.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over18c607$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over17c577.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under67c575.08$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.781,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over9c548.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.493727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over24c542.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6617442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over11c537.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over19c530.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over19c522.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9816123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c519.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.542,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over4c512.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…228bbacked Over19c510.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under76c500$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…e5d7backed Under80c453.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.384938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab7a…4169backed Over4c442.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over11c424.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over14c423.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0338437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…7db8backed Over24c418.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over25c401.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over31c385.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9813727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c359.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over18c340.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over18c330$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over26c327.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5414134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over16c312.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.547431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Under77c310$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.343938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Over12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…e466backed Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1211057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under75c278.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over18c265.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over11c264.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under77c258.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.545955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Under78c256.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.986258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Under80c250.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3412152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over26c238$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8832433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Over24c229.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under78c204.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.422,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.227028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c37…44fdbacked Over19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over18c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.613138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over16c197.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.163823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over21c192.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.847029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c8…165fbacked Under76c184.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.054564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.