Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e879542319645b95191277a21df2f2d2074ea46ec4e202092ac4f18ef59250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 11c | 127,218$13,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,845.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Under | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 8c | 13,914$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.56 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 6,433$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 8c | 5,908$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 8c | 5,555$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 1c | 5,312$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 4,220$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 2,358$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 9c | 2,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Under | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Under | 8c | 1,252$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 10c | 1,218$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Under | 9c | 1,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 8c | 1,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 9c | 1,125$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under | 9c | 1,111$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…4accbacked Under | 8c | 881.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 855.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…1c29backed Under | 11c | 806.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 9c | 804.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 9c | 740.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 9c | 645.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 9c | 579.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…d5d5backed Under | 9c | 573.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Under | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 9c | 449.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…a56dbacked Under | 9c | 439.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…2cfdbacked Under | 10c | 423.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Under | 9c | 402.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Under | 10c | 282$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…668abacked Under | 11c | 281.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 9c | 263.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Under | 9c | 259$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 8c | 258.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…fdf5backed Under | 9c | 212.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Under | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Under | 11c | 181.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…3841backed Under | 9c | 166.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 9c | 155.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Under | 10c | 154.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed Under | 10c | 148.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 9c | 147.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 9c | 135.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 277 | 65.3%181 W · 96 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.