Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed45317bc40e9d1f093eb0c5a164ee4bfa1739a3cc3c392d591097e3a33d95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 6,357$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.98 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 21c | 1,887$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 16c | 1,432$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Under | 17c | 1,412$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 1,324$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Under | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 15c | 999.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Under | 24c | 776.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 753.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 14c | 649.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…a648backed Under | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 16c | 558.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 13c | 456.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…3c3fbacked Under | 17c | 384.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 16c | 351$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 16c | 334.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Under | 14c | 322$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…da4cbacked Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Under | 17c | 237.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 13c | 199$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 190.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 16c | 177.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 25c | 174.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Under | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 159.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Under | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Under | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 13c | 120.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 80c | 117.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Under | 17c | 101.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 79c | 101.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685c…b626backed Under | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…4048backed Under | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…4987backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…7f01backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…6514backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…4ac2backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19b2backed Over | 80c | 37.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 257 | 54.5%140 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 76c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.