Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958693bdf3b5cc47eef5d79b71b2a831e0e83f4f97c942784a29f9b857356177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 15,745$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,732.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Under | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 5,883$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 4,925$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 4,899$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 2,771$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 79c | 2,254$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.03 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…2483backed Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Over | 29c | 1,339$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.01 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 78c | 1,130$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.67 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 11c | 1,078$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 30c | 1,031$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.73 | 301 | 42.5%128 W · 173 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 955.39$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Under | 72c | 862.65$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 71c | 749.41$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…afc3backed Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e2a4backed Over | 32c | 706.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Under | 72c | 697.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Under | 15c | 660.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…f5fcbacked Under | 68c | 599.03$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 65c | 556$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.42 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 24c | 531.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 34c | 518$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 11c | 450.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.93 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Under | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 11c | 397.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.58 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 24c | 378.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 30c | 353.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 74c | 351.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 27c | 340.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 11c | 338.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Over | 34c | 323.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 17c | 320.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 29c | 270$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 233.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…a7e7backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 204.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Under | 74c | 201.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 197.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Over | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Over | 33c | 163.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 67c | 146.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…ffbabacked Over | 26c | 136.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 68c | 123.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 11c | 116.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Over | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…610abacked Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 37c | 101.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…0c6fbacked Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 71.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…ffbabacked Over | 22c | 69.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 68.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Over | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 26.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac4…a531backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.