Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd379ff0c644f129ca40b804749a64d87e4d9120adf91d607f3ee1a2f5a69e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cabo Verdeof Uruguay, Cabo Verde
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uruguay | 8c | 29,585$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Uruguay | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…4accbacked Uruguay | 10c | 16,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Uruguay | 10c | 8,531$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.1 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…fbe0backed Uruguay | 9c | 3,900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Uruguay | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Uruguay | 10c | 3,692$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Uruguay | 9c | 2,757$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Uruguay | 5c | 2,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Uruguay | 8c | 2,117$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Uruguay | 9c | 1,857$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Uruguay | 7c | 1,578$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Uruguay | 7c | 1,541$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Uruguay | 9c | 1,183$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Uruguay | 6c | 1,172$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Uruguay | 9c | 967.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Uruguay | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…4ab2backed Uruguay | 8c | 831.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Uruguay | 10c | 777$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Uruguay | 11c | 731.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Uruguay | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Uruguay | 9c | 664.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Uruguay | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Uruguay | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Uruguay | 7c | 610$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Uruguay | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Uruguay | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed Uruguay | 9c | 591$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Uruguay | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Uruguay | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…f79cbacked Uruguay | 9c | 520.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Uruguay | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Uruguay | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Uruguay | 8c | 461.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Uruguay | 5c | 416.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Uruguay | 9c | 404.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Uruguay | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Uruguay | 9c | 368.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…2571backed Uruguay | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Uruguay | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Uruguay | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Uruguay | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Uruguay | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…56f1backed Uruguay | 9c | 214.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Uruguay | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…18abbacked Uruguay | 9c | 199.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed Uruguay | 9c | 188.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Uruguay | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Uruguay | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Uruguay | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Uruguay | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Uruguay | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Uruguay | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Uruguay | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Uruguay | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Uruguay (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5Over won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.