TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over66c75,757$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.9514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c53,602$21,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,415.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over23c13,124$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c12,773$9,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over74c8,040$5,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.9717733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c6,651$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.722,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c5,188$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c4,193$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over61c4,192$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.8412266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Over31c3,576$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.56221%13 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c3,338$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over61c3,274$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c3,245$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over32c3,225$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over32c3,085$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.918530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under71c2,958$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.7565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2697…0b15backed Over68c2,928$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+154.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c2,815$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…0f20backed Over67c2,610$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c1,875$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Over28c1,723$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.69825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over28c1,714$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.894940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c1,634$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Under36c1,596$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.6413237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c1,563$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Over32c1,429$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.378847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c1,159$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0519…3b47backed Over30c1,044$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over54c1,002$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0814226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6607034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under72c954.92$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3812947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under63c941.14$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.052,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over70c928.57$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c912.47$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.923,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75c…975cbacked Over68c872.28$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.156735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over47c750$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.515144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under32c714.62$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c609.02$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Over15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over25c587$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.392,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c586.24$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over62c564.52$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Over28c549.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.992920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab7a…4169backed Over16c539.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.872725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over56c472.04$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3429636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over53c456.6$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24217938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over65c450.42$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2918652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Over28c446.72$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0817527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb282…cde9backed Over31c408.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.625232.7%17 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over69c397.55$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over29c389.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over27c373.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Over30c366.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104731.9%15 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over55c352$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c350$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd977…2dc4backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004025%10 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over31c323.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under34c317.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87f…c8c3backed Under66c303.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.259544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…5743backed Over69c299.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c294.93$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.822,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee27…8990backed Over70c290$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under73c284.31$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.791,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c273.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under77c267.64$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.871,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd06…b333backed Over26c266.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over26c247.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.381040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over28c246.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over44c240.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.972,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Under71c238.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.912564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under33c224$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1911443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under76c218.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Under70c218$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.962969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over24c214.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under71c202.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.826833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over55c202.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.133030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Over25c201.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.716854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Over9c188.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.955119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over53c186.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7219935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6cf…a967backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505219.2%10 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4206…f874backed Over70c183.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.358270.7%58 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under41c183.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over28c177.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over30c175$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over76c169$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.661,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over30c165.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.579055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9662452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Over63c159$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.286446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under74c155.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4117959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c153.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.331,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.