TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb75c…975c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+260.4%+$2,604.21
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.21
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$544.22
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.48
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,989.92
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,364.98
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+470.6%+$1,149.82
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$2,141.61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+267.9%+$35.56
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$1,194
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.99
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.98
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$174
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49%+$166.3
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.49
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$269.99
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.05
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.99
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$331.56
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.95
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.99
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.08
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.