Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d959c122ab1e7bde1358c902679ad49432e3c5e9ddd70fa30c615318114691d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 2,503$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.02 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 1,288$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.12 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,063$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…975cbacked Yes | 35c | 599.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 409.76$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 279.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 46c | 247.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 52c | 229.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 112.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 57c | 71.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 38c | 52.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…ea50backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 41.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 40.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 334 | 54.8%183 W · 151 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 59c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked No | 64c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.