TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under29c10,742$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.8912639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c4,589$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.445,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over62c1,143$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1689245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c818.56$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.482,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over62c544.75$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.011,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over57c510$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.16642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under48c496.6$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4920638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c418.94$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.672,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c278.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.041,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under42c239.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c189.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5936352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over79c182.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4914144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over60c167.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…ebf8backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over79c153.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under40c145.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.246341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c143.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.511,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over58c125.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over50c109.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.56454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6414047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…118bbacked Over59c83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835a…3f84backed Under51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f0…7314backed Over49c83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e86…4538backed Under42c83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1c1…3466backed Over44c78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719e…ab05backed Under56c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under42c75.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.226437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2b…0643backed Over56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf781…5dc8backed Under45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6c…4583backed Under42c73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d13…1e8ebacked Over58c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over40c72.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.798645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ac…ce70backed Over51c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fd…2e59backed Under49c71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under42c68.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0741…b738backed Over54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3127…c8edbacked Under46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…d44cbacked Under55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bd…e02bbacked Over58c62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…41b1backed Over45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…1811backed Under42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c61.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ac…0170backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032a…c039backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…fde3backed Under40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…b762backed Over60c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8490…423fbacked Over53c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595f…c9b0backed Under47c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3858…234bbacked Under55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa6…87afbacked Over53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e9e…9a7abacked Over45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f72…3a00backed Under50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…9850backed Under47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…53f6backed Over50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314a…7f6cbacked Under52c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…f50ebacked Over48c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Under41c52.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.651675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa387…7df1backed Under46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…42febacked Over54c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3178…19e1backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380d…f3c2backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bb…fd60backed Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…d9c0backed Over49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a7…0ef3backed Under43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ff…4d0abacked Over57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+112.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…1b48backed Under53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ea…3080backed Over47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over55c47.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.273444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f9…db38backed Under44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee01…604abacked Over56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.458241.5%34 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x304e…711abacked Over60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cfb…3cebbacked Over56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb43a…2df1backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb54…be08backed Under40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa886…e656backed Under57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7928…0418backed Over43c43.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…cbd3backed Over60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f60…63fcbacked Under40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…d82abacked Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe011…07c4backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf869…118fbacked Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…5e20backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under46c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.437546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a3…38f3backed Under41c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ce…1277backed Over59c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Under28c37.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…be4dbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f8…1cd6backed Under42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ed…7055backed Over58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+114.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over63c34.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.978265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7918646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under39c32.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7314744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over52c30.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.729254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.