Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e78cd0207a0925ebf7456497801e14a7e8e7b0b65100e55758e24c642e5580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 5,275$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 40c | 2,891$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.37 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 67c | 2,415$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 1,218$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 45c | 1,052$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,047$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 921$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 840.65$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.35 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 663.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 654.62$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 46c | 632.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 69c | 604.3$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…1ca3backed Over | 53c | 528.08$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Over | 31c | 480$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 41c | 470.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 422.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 36c | 408.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 63c | 311.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 50c | 309.72$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 288.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 47c | 258.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 251.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 37c | 251.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 182.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 179.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 156.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 156.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 72c | 115.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 38c | 115.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 101.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 84.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 67.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 73c | 67.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 61c | 67.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Over | 76c | 52.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 48.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 49c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 66c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 64c | 16.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.