Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bb0fae393c5e21cd47419426d5c9b63ca3a7bdaa80d7ea27bd5a151efea24d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FCof Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.02 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 47c | 1,764$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 53c | 1,130$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.63 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 28c | 207.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 27c | 184.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 77c | 179.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 79c | 179.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…c9e2backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 35c | 144.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 79c | 111.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 48c | 103.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 76c | 47.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 77c | 39.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…ee0dbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 79c | 22.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 78c | 16.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…be28backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.