TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,671 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c1,093$787 inLost-$786.782,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c719.05$197 inWon+$522.485,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over37c536.24$200 inWon+$336.246653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c312.13$197 inLost-$196.852,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over76c229.88$175 inWon+$54.483767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under62c215.93$133 inLost-$133.271,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over41c209.88$86 inWon+$123.681233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over38c203.16$77 inWon+$125.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under60c152.12$91 inLost-$91.3737552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under61c149.97$91 inLost-$91.4854746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c97.4$57 inLost-$57.171,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over36c94.44$34 inWon+$60.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over25c70$18 inWon+$52.528040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over42c69.05$29 inWon+$40.054759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over26c57.69$15 inWon+$42.695125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over37c41.36$15 inWon+$26.214355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.