NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e8574f967e628750dff67c641944a84da281ced40ffe7c76e42649e89a6887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,086,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,076,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,086,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 43c | 169,606$73,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,204.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 56c | 168,002$94,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,410.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 38c | 105,489$40,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,898.63 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 32c | 100,000$31,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,100.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 35c | 99,364$35,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,215.98 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…200ebacked Yes | 21c | 80,750$17,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,709.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…b546backed Yes | 22c | 80,700$17,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,703.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 63c | 71,461$45,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,099.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed No | 65c | 68,838$44,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,625.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…5ee7backed Yes | 25c | 67,878$16,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,112.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 40c | 49,064$19,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,372.75 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed No | 68c | 46,263$31,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,644.03 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…75d5backed Yes | 23c | 45,600$10,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,262.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked No | 64c | 31,989$20,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,494.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa274…59f2backed Yes | 21c | 31,540$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,948.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…efcebacked Yes | 22c | 31,440$6,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,617.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +360.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…3302backed No | 68c | 30,642$20,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,923.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 25,170$8,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,025.53 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5d89backed Yes | 23c | 25,000$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…dcaebacked No | 75c | 23,911$18,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,004.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…14aabacked Yes | 44c | 23,495$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,193.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…ce7bbacked No | 75c | 22,522$16,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,959.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…ed32backed No | 78c | 22,500$17,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,482.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…163fbacked Yes | 33c | 22,469$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,073.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed No | 58c | 22,406$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,037.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…9921backed No | 78c | 21,750$16,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,899.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…4c82backed No | 75c | 21,445$16,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,148.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 18c | 21,316$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,407.82 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…c49cbacked No | 79c | 21,000$16,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…80aabacked No | 79c | 21,000$16,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,632.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Yes | 35c | 20,705$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…1df3backed No | 78c | 20,050$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,578.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…d9d1backed Yes | 25c | 19,883$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,866.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…10b2backed No | 79c | 19,450$15,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,307.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…28bbbacked Yes | 23c | 19,343$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,874.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…d27cbacked No | 79c | 19,300$15,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,285.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 18,719$10,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,372.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 58c | 18,659$10,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,841.86 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d040backed Yes | 31c | 17,820$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 66c | 17,033$11,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,293.67 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 26c | 17,001$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,627.06 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Yes | 42c | 16,762$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.26 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…20babacked No | 78c | 16,400$12,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,742.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 49c | 16,000$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.91 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 15,770$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.89 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 35c | 15,276$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.47 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Yes | 24c | 14,999$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,422.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Yes | 45c | 14,966$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,276.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 14,446$10,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,397.25 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 71c | 13,752$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,791.97 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 78c | 13,604$10,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,570.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…47d1backed No | 77c | 13,600$10,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 30c | 13,570$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.39 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Yes | 37c | 13,430$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.16 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 25c | 13,380$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,979.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…dc64backed No | 77c | 12,500$9,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,562.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…45d1backed No | 77c | 12,500$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Yes | 42c | 11,388$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +137%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea4…23f6backed Yes | 20c | 11,286$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +393.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…c70ebacked No | 77c | 11,200$8,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6d…9dc0backed No | 77c | 11,200$8,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…d361backed No | 79c | 10,105$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,938.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 9,975$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 27c | 9,847$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.7 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…b787backed No | 79c | 9,482$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…2613backed Yes | 28c | 9,380$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,743.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 45c | 9,257$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.23 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Yes | 53c | 8,900$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 42c | 8,871$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…36bbbacked Yes | 33c | 8,795$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4876backed No | 79c | 8,539$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,754.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…846ebacked No | 79c | 8,539$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,703.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…a8f7backed No | 77c | 8,300$6,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,415.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 23c | 8,112$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…a652backed No | 79c | 7,911$6,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,257.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 15c | 7,818$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.18 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 32c | 7,705$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.51 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…25a2backed No | 79c | 7,572$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 22c | 7,540$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.88 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked No | 59c | 7,538$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.68 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 69c | 7,491$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.78 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes | 24c | 7,429$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 42c | 7,000$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 30c | 6,998$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 78c | 6,972$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.36 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 34c | 6,945$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.47 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 6,881$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.08 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 6,459$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 17c | 6,404$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.01 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 65c | 6,240$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.43 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Yes | 49c | 6,200$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 24c | 6,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 33c | 6,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 25c | 6,080$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.53 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 24c | 6,079$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.39 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…8b40backed Yes | 23c | 5,949$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 5,665$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…215ebacked No | 57c | 5,642$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 48c | 5,612$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…eb76backed No | 79c | 5,608$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.