NBA · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f22fff06f0357be1c5641ffb7a7d7214858973da12866f573bee01dd36f351b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $939,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $868,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,266 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x738a…b44cbacked Yes	3c	68,946$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.94	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	55,842$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.12	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes	5c	18,177$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.6	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	3c	18,166$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.14	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	3c	17,779$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.45	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes	5c	13,991$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.5	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	6c	13,834$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.3	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes	3c	13,609$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.08	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes	3c	11,037$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.54	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+138.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0edb…92c3backed Yes	4c	10,027$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.45	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	9,043$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.47	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,235$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	84	4.8%4 W · 80 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+489.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	2c	7,271$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.54	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	3c	6,834$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	3c	6,482$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Yes	1c	6,471$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.92	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	2c	6,427$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.46	382	39.5%151 W · 231 L	+35.9wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes	3c	6,256$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.42	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	4c	5,999$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.19	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3153…08bebacked Yes	5c	5,463$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a6…1c14backed Yes	6c	5,112$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.27	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+148.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	4c	4,616$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.59	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb5…11babacked Yes	3c	4,592$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	5c	4,414$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.42	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	4c	3,883$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.4	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,835$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.6	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	4c	3,822$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.04	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	2c	3,757$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	256	42.2%108 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes	3c	3,625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes	3c	3,380$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.69	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes	4c	3,335$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.83	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Yes	2c	3,286$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	3c	3,216$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.41	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…2918backed Yes	2c	3,198$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes	2c	3,166$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	5c	2,975$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.88	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes	5c	2,927$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.38	45	20%9 W · 36 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes	6c	2,655$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	4c	2,601$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	228	44.7%102 W · 126 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4555…220cbacked Yes	6c	2,586$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	5c	2,371$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.75	200	50.5%101 W · 99 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes	4c	2,303$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.48	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7162…b33fbacked Yes	3c	2,293$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	3c	2,188$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.64	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+6.5wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+82%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbaab…b735backed Yes	6c	2,168$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes	4c	2,167$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.78	548	53.8%295 W · 253 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…d717backed Yes	3c	2,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Yes	5c	2,100$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+106.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes	5c	2,100$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.3	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Yes	2c	2,098$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	5c	2,058$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.6	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	2,012$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c5…edf9backed Yes	3c	2,008$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Yes	2c	2,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+66%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Yes	4c	1,981$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	186	28%52 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7641…eafcbacked Yes	2c	1,910$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.17	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	1,847$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.12	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Yes	5c	1,843$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	3c	1,822$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…7ac6backed Yes	1c	1,722$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd126…e535backed Yes	2c	1,710$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa377…2b3bbacked Yes	2c	1,707$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x613d…7173backed Yes	4c	1,678$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes	2c	1,662$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…e903backed Yes	2c	1,655$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,612$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	96	9.4%9 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Yes	6c	1,609$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.3	111	36%40 W · 71 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9568…e6c0backed Yes	5c	1,609$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fb…03edbacked Yes	2c	1,578$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes	6c	1,573$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	3c	1,547$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-73%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes	2c	1,507$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…7447backed Yes	3c	1,461$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…9403backed Yes	2c	1,457$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes	2c	1,371$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…3910backed Yes	3c	1,361$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes	4c	1,326$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x233e…8583backed Yes	5c	1,315$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	4c	1,305$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes	2c	1,296$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Yes	16c	1,262$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.56	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2953…ec9ebacked Yes	4c	1,262$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	12cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc86…6890backed Yes	3c	1,216$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	2c	1,181$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	2c	1,148$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Yes	5c	1,100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	4c	1,094$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	1c	1,072$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	4c	1,068$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	1,041$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd4…a787backed Yes	3c	998$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e9…8c20backed Yes	4c	970$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0522…0392backed Yes	4c	970$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe1…bfd2backed Yes	2c	960$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4c53backed Yes	3c	954.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc433…d38ebacked Yes	2c	866.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b22…5380backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	10cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4381…1cc2backed Yes	3c	799.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event