TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x293b…5d33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.37
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.71
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.62
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.23
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.3
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.77
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.13
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.29
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.24
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.59
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.34
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.25
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.88
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$23.37
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+147.1%+$58.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+504.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.