TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,627,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,080,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,627,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes8c100,512$8,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,324.4714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes5c80,384$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.581,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes4c61,567$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.312950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f24…05efbacked Yes9c58,677$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.171838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes5c58,174$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.57240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Yes3c51,098$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes5c50,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes4c43,557$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.871729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes4c41,732$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.8326136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes6c38,794$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.68254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes4c38,390$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+195%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes5c37,266$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.871,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd2…f926backed Yes6c35,569$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…180cbacked Yes5c33,881$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…5f8cbacked Yes5c33,866$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes5c31,577$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.131,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c26,848$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes4c25,947$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.329431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes3c25,391$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.5533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eab…f09ebacked Yes5c24,619$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes4c24,037$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.984027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…b7dfbacked Yes5c23,690$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a5…dd19backed Yes6c23,673$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes5c23,511$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.881910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86af…69d2backed Yes5c23,314$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.29425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes5c23,120$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.796414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ff0…867abacked Yes7c22,199$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8869…8e88backed Yes6c22,077$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb35…888bbacked Yes5c21,781$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…5e97backed Yes6c21,663$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ce…cbedbacked Yes5c21,543$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes6c21,000$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.1827445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d4…d5d6backed Yes5c20,758$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ce…7b3cbacked Yes5c20,447$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.4480%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf585…2640backed Yes5c20,091$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9812…95d9backed Yes6c19,971$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…03e7backed Yes5c19,128$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…2ea6backed Yes5c18,965$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227d…0f83backed Yes5c18,912$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8787…991abacked Yes6c18,785$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…b52cbacked Yes6c18,750$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes4c18,726$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x820e…3ea8backed Yes5c18,482$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde11…27d9backed Yes5c18,454$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64bf…8b5fbacked Yes6c18,368$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa51e…038cbacked Yes5c18,241$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b11…2a82backed Yes5c18,150$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40f…93eebacked Yes7c18,077$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f1…bab7backed Yes5c17,825$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes5c17,197$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.0625258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8741…da3dbacked Yes5c17,177$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…71bcbacked Yes5c17,121$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acd…01a4backed Yes5c17,075$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7a…b401backed Yes5c17,065$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d1…7338backed Yes5c16,979$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9b…6b5abacked Yes5c16,953$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07d…c0b3backed Yes5c16,884$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55d…f00fbacked Yes5c16,716$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2525…3f7fbacked Yes6c16,695$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b2…be09backed Yes5c16,641$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…d1d9backed Yes5c16,612$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d83…c1c6backed Yes5c16,511$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7301…5dd9backed Yes5c16,489$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes5c16,431$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.96185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes5c16,404$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.755137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e6…4f42backed Yes5c16,314$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8283backed Yes5c15,877$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116a…faf7backed Yes6c15,729$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes1c15,555$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.226137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes6c14,713$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.38130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes5c14,396$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0543743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes5c14,395$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.894540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Yes5c14,339$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…8b10backed Yes6c13,846$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9c…ee7fbacked Yes5c13,562$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76e…8245backed Yes5c13,539$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8c…a72abacked Yes5c13,518$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa12…3a51backed Yes6c13,426$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4398…775bbacked Yes7c13,323$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…ff45backed Yes5c13,260$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes3c13,154$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.64128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7c…d652backed Yes5c13,143$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3784…ec90backed Yes5c13,099$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494c…5d66backed Yes6c13,041$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc473…401ebacked Yes5c13,004$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes0c13,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c0…e3fdbacked Yes6c12,889$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6a…1d26backed Yes6c12,860$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296f…fb8ebacked Yes5c12,732$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes4c12,629$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.541,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes4c12,553$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.183228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc526…038cbacked Yes5c12,459$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…a94ebacked Yes5c12,344$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes6c12,025$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.03616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+65.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…f107backed Yes5c11,930$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a1…901cbacked Yes5c11,893$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb892…5aaabacked Yes5c11,655$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes4c11,590$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc436…5073backed Yes6c11,549$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d4…4fbebacked Yes6c11,409$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.