NHL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dd35aba75f4ffb52d3d19e6665925512e6462ba25232536aa1e7c5ad3dad7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,056,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $765,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 93,036$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…caf1backed Yes | 1c | 53,328$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9626…282bbacked Yes | 1c | 49,995$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 18,241$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 1c | 17,647$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 16,700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 1c | 14,237$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,986$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…075bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…b885backed Yes | 1c | 10,173$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…9c08backed Yes | 1c | 10,150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 10,131$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb35…0c81backed Yes | 1c | 10,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdd…04f3backed Yes | 1c | 10,127$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…7375backed Yes | 0c | 10,110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 0c | 9,616$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…9d31backed Yes | 1c | 8,952$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 8,450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 0c | 7,733$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe73…d045backed Yes | 1c | 7,590$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…cfafbacked Yes | 1c | 7,590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 1c | 7,327$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 7,163$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…af8bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,065$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 0c | 6,611$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 6,570$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 1c | 6,368$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 0c | 6,103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 5,806$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 1c | 5,202$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 5,114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…2db7backed Yes | 1c | 5,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 5,032$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…a2f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,025$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,624$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 4,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 3,672$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…6ab7backed Yes | 1c | 3,552$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,468$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 1c | 3,468$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,468$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 1c | 3,468$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…c3e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,448$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc143…d7f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 1c | 2,890$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 2,514$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,312$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 1c | 2,312$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes | 1c | 2,232$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 2,128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…8141backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,722$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…5987backed Yes | 1c | 1,626$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…6b72backed Yes | 1c | 1,277$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…438fbacked Yes | 1c | 891.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…abb6backed Yes | 1c | 825.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.