TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$886,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$540,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5555…2af1backed Yes9c48,577$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.184440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Yes9c24,402$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.352020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Yes7c21,072$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.6711644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b76…edefbacked Yes7c18,884$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.46728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes2c17,693$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.25128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Yes6c17,677$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.4829949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Yes8c13,970$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Yes8c13,843$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.873135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fb…208ebacked Yes4c12,164$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2434…12febacked Yes7c11,840$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes5c11,537$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.795450%27 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes8c10,948$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea7…f60abacked Yes9c10,872$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Yes7c9,707$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6665662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes7c9,280$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-86.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc154…aa0ebacked Yes6c8,957$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.031040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes9c8,483$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.497149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c7,397$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Yes8c7,360$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.825448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes7c7,313$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.123228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28df…7e60backed Yes7c6,886$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes6c6,868$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes8c6,238$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes7c5,998$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.741225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Yes9c5,689$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.563040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cb10backed Yes8c5,500$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe606…081dbacked Yes9c5,429$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6d…63d7backed Yes9c5,296$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes4c5,265$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.13240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf011…76e7backed Yes10c4,998$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes23c4,894$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12229319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4f…6055backed Yes8c4,827$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.252343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes3c4,560$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes9c4,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda14…20f7backed Yes9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes6c4,436$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.145137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes3c4,393$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.619431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Yes12c4,243$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes4c4,204$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.842814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2914…27edbacked Yes12c4,129$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes10c4,106$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes8c3,941$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3710124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes12c3,750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7216554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed7…0507backed Yes10c3,737$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Yes10c3,660$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff30…80adbacked Yes9c3,576$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.423644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb3b…da84backed Yes11c3,560$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe940…cc2bbacked Yes7c3,471$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b1…ca33backed Yes7c3,295$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Yes5c3,251$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e4…fe36backed Yes8c3,053$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.722544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes9c3,000$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3845447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes7c2,839$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes9c2,795$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.560042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48d…8d6fbacked Yes10c2,772$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes5c2,699$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.961,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes7c2,629$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3219836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c9…b24dbacked Yes4c2,621$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Yes8c2,589$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaade…71f1backed Yes14c2,582$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8349…0c39backed Yes10c2,373$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes8c2,349$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.411546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes9c2,346$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f587backed Yes9c2,301$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.863923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c2,226$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aee…8cd2backed Yes8c2,220$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf919…9379backed Yes9c2,207$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f8…d8babacked Yes10c2,195$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fdf…0285backed Yes6c2,184$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes8c2,167$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6465345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes7c2,138$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.632646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d62…df5cbacked Yes8c2,052$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb2…f226backed Yes7c2,009$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.473318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes7c1,887$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.286414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes8c1,864$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.226139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x045a…26b5backed Yes6c1,854$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5882…1759backed Yes6c1,851$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes4c1,849$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.372326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…2d14backed Yes8c1,825$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0369…76c7backed Yes6c1,807$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287f…43d5backed Yes10c1,763$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80aa…1162backed Yes10c1,744$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed67…e6f4backed Yes12c1,729$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50d1…6ab2backed Yes10c1,712$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Yes7c1,700$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11821846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…8be9backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd5…d016backed Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc8…e126backed Yes12c1,626$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1992755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…8045backed Yes10c1,620$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…bf16backed Yes9c1,608$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e4…91d3backed Yes9c1,604$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…cd1fbacked Yes10c1,596$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49de…1778backed Yes9c1,524$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a55…19a7backed Yes5c1,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x103f…5bb4backed Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes7c1,430$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x933e…0c93backed Yes9c1,408$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.96616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.