TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,062,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,062,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes4c53,519$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.062821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c51,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes1c25,255$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b0…cf23backed Yes1c22,085$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.18120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2b…69a4backed Yes0c20,918$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…4060backed Yes0c19,989$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…acdbbacked Yes0c17,179$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Yes1c13,635$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.354358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes0c12,373$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe700…80b2backed Yes0c11,170$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb109…0a3cbacked Yes0c10,829$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…aad7backed Yes0c10,136$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c10,136$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.683228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb07…fd6bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed67…77c2backed Yes0c9,685$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c9,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c8,837$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes0c7,952$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1134032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80fa…88aabacked Yes0c7,323$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa768…84c7backed Yes0c7,323$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…369ebacked Yes0c7,323$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ce…003dbacked Yes0c7,323$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…f49dbacked Yes0c7,229$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd3…5659backed Yes0c6,910$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x831d…fcbbbacked Yes0c6,465$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5458…0b85backed Yes0c6,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes0c6,093$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c11…778fbacked Yes0c5,612$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c5,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…0a6bbacked Yes0c5,288$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bca…af80backed Yes0c5,288$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad8…8944backed Yes0c5,288$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7e…4792backed Yes0c5,216$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf0…e4ddbacked Yes0c5,216$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…0deabacked Yes0c5,216$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes0c5,152$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca14…e335backed Yes0c5,089$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bb…d2c2backed Yes0c5,089$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05af…e9bfbacked Yes0c5,089$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…7399backed Yes0c5,089$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9e…3c9abacked Yes0c5,087$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3c…f248backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa172…e6d8backed Yes0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…e7bebacked Yes0c4,993$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbe…d681backed Yes0c4,969$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6402…a05bbacked Yes0c4,900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c4,697$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.59234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9035…e2d9backed Yes0c4,351$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…589cbacked Yes0c4,338$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d0…8420backed Yes0c4,338$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf0…6105backed Yes0c4,338$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…c7bfbacked Yes0c4,338$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes0c4,331$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2543944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes2c4,328$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.88616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c3,575$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9426136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb236…ca07backed Yes0c3,398$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes3c3,310$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8770%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes3c3,263$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7218931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes1c2,709$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.39922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+75.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c2,556$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81c2…8318backed Yes0c2,510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c2,338$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes3c2,270$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2790%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c2,069$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.76414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5160042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes4c1,500$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.16147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-86.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,363$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3222516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c1,016$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4265345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes4c948$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.97175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5531…76fcbacked Yes4c599.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9789…2cb7backed Yes3c533.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+287.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes6c508.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2947845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…93b6backed Yes6c499.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes5c448.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.235141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…7ff9backed Yes6c441.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x112a…c789backed Yes6c395.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes5c254.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-78.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde6…0329backed Yes6c199.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…b12bbacked Yes7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.