NHL · resolved market
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cec1aa0f2496c59cfcd2fd1270ce798e2d7de14ea55d6fdc747cc814a4b9262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,566,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,791,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,566,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 62,539$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.14 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,819$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,027$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…1aeabacked Yes | 0c | 18,837$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 18,712$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf996…2ac4backed Yes | 0c | 16,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…7cfdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…2cd7backed Yes | 0c | 13,434$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…05e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…5659backed Yes | 0c | 13,115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 8,093$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 7,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 1c | 7,318$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…e898backed Yes | 0c | 7,223$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…6342backed Yes | 0c | 7,223$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3dbbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,218$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…f742backed Yes | 0c | 7,202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…c523backed Yes | 0c | 7,166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…225fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,085$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,282$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 1c | 6,282$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…62e4backed Yes | 0c | 6,220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…0b85backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 1c | 5,952$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 1c | 5,952$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 1c | 5,952$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…4549backed Yes | 0c | 5,825$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Yes | 1c | 4,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 4,897$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,644$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…6b72backed Yes | 1c | 4,408$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 4,359$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,968$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,968$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 0c | 3,854$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…6e54backed Yes | 0c | 3,739$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…94aebacked Yes | 0c | 3,654$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5ef7backed Yes | 0c | 3,654$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,637$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 1c | 3,637$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…1b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,464$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,231$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,976$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…189cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,632$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…feb4backed Yes | 0c | 2,623$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f841backed Yes | 0c | 2,608$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 1c | 2,184$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…5987backed Yes | 1c | 2,135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 2,042$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…294dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…94d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…1c6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,323$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…8141backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7642…55ccbacked Yes | 1c | 946.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes | 2c | 797.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.