NHL · resolved market
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139b893a7ae21eaec72e887ba88910831944b4662512428c122c4ad0a5c125ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,492,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,211,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,492,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 208,079$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 3c | 60,067$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.23 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 58,021$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.51 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 41,952$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.67 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 2c | 35,145$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Yes | 1c | 34,224$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.62 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 3c | 28,715$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.01 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 28,460$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 1c | 21,247$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 21,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,157$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,872$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.54 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 1c | 14,518$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 4c | 13,752$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.22 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 11,685$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…225bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,720$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…b398backed Yes | 1c | 10,720$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…1da8backed Yes | 1c | 10,682$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…4862backed Yes | 1c | 10,682$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…bdd5backed Yes | 2c | 10,673$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…9ff8backed Yes | 1c | 10,540$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…36bfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,540$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 3c | 10,511$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,057$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 5c | 7,975$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 3c | 7,733$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 7,576$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,086$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 5c | 5,371$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.48 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…245dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,342$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Yes | 4c | 5,130$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,036$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes | 4c | 5,023$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Yes | 2c | 4,999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 4c | 4,471$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,318$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 2c | 4,144$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…462fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,095$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 3c | 4,043$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Yes | 5c | 3,659$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…cb72backed Yes | 3c | 3,551$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,098$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 3,083$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 2c | 3,023$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,651$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,626$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 4c | 2,624$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…29f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,543$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…9d31backed Yes | 3c | 2,364$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 2,247$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…5987backed Yes | 2c | 2,222$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Yes | 3c | 2,217$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 1c | 2,116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 4c | 2,106$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…bdccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,098$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5262backed Yes | 3c | 2,069$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…626abacked Yes | 3c | 2,053$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…5e15backed Yes | 3c | 1,987$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 4c | 1,971$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…17d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,937$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…56fbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,892$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 1c | 1,862$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 2c | 1,827$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,806$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,798$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…6572backed Yes | 3c | 1,773$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 4c | 1,694$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfd…b9e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,685$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…5144backed Yes | 4c | 1,673$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…fddfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…12a3backed Yes | 3c | 1,661$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…9d69backed Yes | 3c | 1,635$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cd…81f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,601$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 1c | 1,586$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…92adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,581$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…0d05backed Yes | 1c | 1,569$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…a6d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,564$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…0480backed Yes | 2c | 1,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,469$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 1,465$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…8315backed Yes | 5c | 1,401$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 5c | 1,359$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,346$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…2b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,295$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 3c | 1,283$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,282$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…0d7bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,257$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed Yes | 1c | 1,252$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…94f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,243$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…32b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…72f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,194$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,189$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.