TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,966,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,481,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,966,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f24…05efbacked Yes4c200,000$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,502.611838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c106,749$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.0226136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Yes5c75,000$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.792343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes0c71,651$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.78128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c56,515$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.57240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes2c51,562$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.576126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes2c42,636$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.2247845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes2c41,620$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.8118931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c35,876$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.741729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Yes2c35,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c32,706$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.041910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes4c31,470$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.5170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Yes4c28,143$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.381338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes3c24,869$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes2c22,780$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6112950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes2c21,000$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0727445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes2c18,752$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.31270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c16,136$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1543944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes3c16,126$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8731744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes2c15,193$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.989431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Yes2c14,439$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.713749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes2c13,970$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes1c13,279$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.264540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c13,056$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.01254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes2c12,764$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.62210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ce…7b3cbacked Yes4c11,821$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c11,486$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1922516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes3c11,313$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes2c11,052$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.381315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes2c10,873$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.952814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes2c9,810$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…c750backed Yes3c9,438$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca7…0a12backed Yes3c8,916$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccde…8962backed Yes3c8,427$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c7,737$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.96414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f5…8c34backed Yes2c7,686$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ec…219cbacked Yes2c7,686$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes2c7,428$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2890%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes4c7,304$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.76714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes1c7,235$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.75150%0 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…8501backed Yes2c6,820$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes1c6,673$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.78128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-79.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c6,203$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.463735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes1c5,839$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.163520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes2c5,429$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.951,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…4364backed Yes2c5,110$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe294…8dffbacked Yes2c5,091$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes2c5,052$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4134032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes3c4,975$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.115141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…9803backed Yes1c4,753$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.142138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes3c4,697$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.31040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes2c4,040$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1821534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes1c3,992$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes1c3,943$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.825242.3%22 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes2c3,901$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.689547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda40…bfc0backed Yes4c3,864$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+109.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes3c3,762$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f587backed Yes3c3,759$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.613923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c3,594$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.45140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes3c3,354$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7726547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed Yes2c3,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes2c3,314$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.88110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes3c3,226$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1313655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes1c3,218$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.743740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e54…0b2fbacked Yes2c3,201$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c3,150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cc…5987backed Yes1c3,131$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30200%0 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781b…b8e3backed Yes4c2,822$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Yes1c2,725$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8298…8687backed Yes1c2,570$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…1ef9backed Yes2c2,558$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes2c2,499$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3349746.5%231 W · 266 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c2,489$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0365345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x112e…aa35backed Yes4c2,381$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Yes2c2,199$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes2c2,197$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x651e…6ab7backed Yes1c2,156$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c2,154$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0dd…14f2backed Yes5c2,150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c2,068$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c2,020$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…91dabacked Yes2c2,004$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.54110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes2c2,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9119836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes3c1,964$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ad…e353backed Yes3c1,952$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.111833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked Yes1c1,934$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0611638.8%45 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17f7backed Yes3c1,913$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29a…09c7backed Yes2c1,861$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes3c1,837$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2362346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes2c1,805$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.017540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes1c1,760$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…b33bbacked Yes3c1,754$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes2c1,704$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9841248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes1c1,700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.260042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6140…bf64backed Yes2c1,652$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4dd…347bbacked Yes2c1,641$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes1c1,629$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes3c1,568$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1c…c085backed Yes3c1,566$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.