TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,022,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$691,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,022,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c100,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes1c89,326$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.615352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes2c50,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.911,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c34,656$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.51,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes3c21,966$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.79240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c21,438$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes1c17,369$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c15,245$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes2c13,639$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.051,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes3c11,407$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3347845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes2c11,385$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.87110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852c…a5eabacked Yes1c10,635$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f2…b1afbacked Yes1c10,635$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…a909backed Yes1c10,142$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c9,665$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c8,689$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c8,096$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.641910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8316…3e8cbacked Yes1c7,680$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c24…2d73backed Yes1c7,680$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c6,372$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.54270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes2c6,217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3718931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c5,858$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.456414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf891…35b3backed Yes0c5,685$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf56…5885backed Yes4c5,352$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c5,237$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9826136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,923$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6822516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Yes2c4,828$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4448157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes1c4,349$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5433652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x049b…5262backed Yes2c4,316$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,986$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c3,519$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.73735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6204…3f71backed Yes3c3,310$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes2c3,027$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.092814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3903…2a1dbacked Yes3c3,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes1c2,700$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7721…80debacked Yes1c2,565$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413c…b211backed Yes1c2,515$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…66fdbacked Yes1c2,440$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43f…3d4ebacked Yes1c2,415$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Yes4c2,386$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes1c2,328$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cc…5987backed Yes1c2,164$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30200%0 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Yes2c2,054$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6412654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes1c1,978$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0e…b895backed Yes3c1,953$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…12a3backed Yes2c1,889$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b4…462fbacked Yes2c1,849$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.165855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x651e…6ab7backed Yes1c1,815$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes1c1,801$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9160042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa824…f7d9backed Yes3c1,711$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f65…720dbacked Yes3c1,664$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9789…2cb7backed Yes1c1,663$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+287.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2079…9f2abacked Yes2c1,583$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9190…294dbacked Yes1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c1,485$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5706…514fbacked Yes2c1,476$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e6…54c8backed Yes1c1,437$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes2c1,348$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb060…778ebacked Yes3c1,333$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482f…7cf8backed Yes1c1,291$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead6…f8a3backed Yes2c1,291$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386f…fda6backed Yes3c1,232$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes1c1,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc063…2af9backed Yes7c1,154$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes4c1,136$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.431010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes1c1,095$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90dd…14e3backed Yes1c1,050$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf9…94d7backed Yes1c1,050$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes1c1,002$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0262346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9cb…8981backed Yes3c1,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…c854backed Yes3c983$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c974.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b03ebacked Yes3c883.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d7…169cbacked Yes3c878.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes2c870.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3111952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d2…da05backed Yes2c866.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3541…8b87backed Yes2c842.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes2c817.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.882015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaccf…b278backed Yes5c799.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf288…8dbcbacked Yes1c779.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0279…02a0backed Yes2c744$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d2…d007backed Yes1c719.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4b…b4ebbacked Yes2c703.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7642…55ccbacked Yes1c691.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-75.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a96…c691backed Yes2c685.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Yes2c675.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9411644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c2…36dcbacked Yes3c629.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d39…a544backed Yes2c625.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x352d…0323backed Yes2c614.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes3c607$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes2c600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df8…4005backed Yes3c592.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6b…2ffcbacked Yes3c590.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Yes2c577.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.424656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes3c571.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe487…8852backed Yes5c565.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c561.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…a5b9backed Yes3c561.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22eb…d2fdbacked Yes2c560.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.