TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a96…c691

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Earnings at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+27.6%+$29.12
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63%+$19.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+83.3%+$24.99
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$5
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$119.26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68.16
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
LoL: Solary vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.67
LoL: Joblife vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.5
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.2%+$133.66
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.55
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$85.18
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+117.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.04
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.03
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.49
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,698.2%+$419.74
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.54
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.08
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.83
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$35.4
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$455.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.92
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$209.87
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,983.3%+$324.66
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.48
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.85
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$163.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japanbacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.