Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d2f5f693619c0154d55538a84a3943e787a8ca67907a8e7e5064b0048c83a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,471,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,136,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,471,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,882 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 307,015$21,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,202.96 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 10c | 183,354$19,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,104.38 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 7c | 117,439$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,768.61 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…35c0backed No | 76c | 104,353$79,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,070.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 102,566$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.19 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 15c | 100,927$14,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,906.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 95,473$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,117.65 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 8c | 94,102$7,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 4c | 89,345$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.66 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 12c | 81,096$9,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 78,643$12,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,018.38 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…b75bbacked Yes | 16c | 78,264$12,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,135.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…43bebacked Yes | 31c | 73,455$22,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,587 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…10bbbacked Yes | 2c | 63,562$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…9757backed Yes | 2c | 60,591$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 69c | 60,000$41,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…c999backed Yes | 8c | 49,619$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Yes | 13c | 45,577$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,115.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 2c | 45,530$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 6c | 44,372$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 4c | 43,408$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.97 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 22c | 41,778$9,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,331.89 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 41,227$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.29 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…67eebacked Yes | 9c | 40,971$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 2c | 38,585$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 3c | 38,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Yes | 8c | 37,239$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c57…af7cbacked Yes | 1c | 35,609$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 35,184$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.25 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…b77bbacked Yes | 3c | 33,878$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…7c5abacked Yes | 13c | 33,220$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 11c | 30,142$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.52 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 23c | 28,562$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 28,329$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.57 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…befbbacked Yes | 9c | 28,267$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked No | 65c | 28,032$18,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…22ddbacked Yes | 4c | 27,178$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes | 5c | 26,106$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 4c | 25,484$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 22c | 25,408$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 25,263$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.69 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc0…da93backed Yes | 13c | 24,341$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 6c | 24,262$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed No | 65c | 23,687$15,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bf7dbacked Yes | 9c | 23,456$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…eb69backed Yes | 13c | 23,242$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 6c | 22,658$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.58 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 16c | 21,417$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…6c82backed Yes | 5c | 21,408$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 11c | 20,890$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…4cc4backed Yes | 22c | 19,002$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…a873backed Yes | 13c | 18,655$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…c461backed Yes | 14c | 18,616$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 18,458$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.34 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 14c | 18,365$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked Yes | 11c | 17,497$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed Yes | 6c | 17,386$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…db45backed Yes | 1c | 17,222$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 17c | 17,101$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 17,031$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.94 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…5968backed Yes | 6c | 16,934$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…c184backed No | 78c | 16,932$13,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…50c3backed Yes | 10c | 16,795$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 16,645$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Yes | 1c | 16,435$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.09 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fd29backed Yes | 18c | 16,397$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…5015backed Yes | 8c | 16,024$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 10c | 15,600$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 7c | 15,545$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.64 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 6c | 15,403$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 14c | 15,199$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…cae8backed Yes | 7c | 15,080$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…87cbbacked Yes | 13c | 15,035$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…2caebacked Yes | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…2f5fbacked Yes | 10c | 14,889$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 14,852$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…69aabacked Yes | 13c | 14,186$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…cbc8backed Yes | 11c | 13,996$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 13c | 13,698$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…67c6backed Yes | 11c | 13,471$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Yes | 9c | 13,349$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 78c | 13,312$10,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 77c | 13,235$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 10c | 12,967$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…b66dbacked Yes | 6c | 12,901$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…a95fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,854$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 11c | 12,746$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.44 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 12,616$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 12,597$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1384backed Yes | 13c | 12,545$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…3567backed Yes | 14c | 11,818$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7751backed Yes | 1c | 11,784$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 73c | 11,776$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.92 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Yes | 17c | 11,689$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…43b8backed Yes | 1c | 11,645$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 14c | 11,539$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.41 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…9eb1backed Yes | 14c | 11,506$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab23…e48dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,360$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 10c | 11,250$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.78 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.